Use the result as a requirement, then attack the weakest assumption.
A sales target is only useful if the contribution per sale and traffic requirement are explicit. EarnMath first estimates expected money collected after refunds, subtracts percentage fees and variable cost, then divides your income target plus fixed monthly costs by that contribution. Required traffic is the required sales divided by the conversion rate you enter.
Core mathcontribution = price × (1 − refund rate) × (1 − fee rate) − variable costsales needed = ceil((income target + fixed monthly cost) ÷ contribution)visitors needed = ceil(sales needed ÷ conversion rate)
Illustrative example
With the built-in example assumptions—$29 price, 8% percentage fees, 5% refunds, $40 monthly fixed cost and a $2,000 monthly target—the modeled contribution is about $25.35 per sale. That requires 81 sales. At a 2% visitor-to-sale conversion rate, that implies 4,050 visitors per month. The same 81 sales require about 5,400 visitors at 1.5% conversion, or about 3,240 at 2.5%.
What should make you reject the idea?
- If contribution per sale is near zero or negative, more traffic does not fix the economics.
- If the traffic requirement is far beyond what you can realistically acquire without paid promotion, the plan is not passive just because the product is digital.
- If support and maintenance hours exceed your available time, treat the business as an operating job rather than an automated asset.
The calculator deliberately does not tell you what your conversion rate “should” be. Validate that number with your own landing-page data, comparable products or a small real-world test before treating the output as a plan.